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2月份AMI指數(shù)為59.1%，市場正走在復(fù)蘇的路上

2025-03-07 16:24:56 來源：中國農(nóng)機(jī)流通協(xié)會(huì) 閱讀量：13398 評(píng)論

　　中國農(nóng)業(yè)機(jī)械流通協(xié)會(huì)發(fā)布的2025年2月份中國農(nóng)機(jī)市場景氣指數(shù)(AMI)為59.1%，環(huán)比提升17.6個(gè)百分點(diǎn)，同比提升14.0個(gè)百分點(diǎn)。從環(huán)比看，6個(gè)一級(jí)指數(shù)全部呈上升趨勢(shì)。其中，人氣指數(shù)漲幅最大，環(huán)比大幅提升29個(gè)百分點(diǎn)；從同比看，6個(gè)一級(jí)指數(shù)也全部呈上升趨勢(shì)，其中效益指數(shù)增幅最大，為26.1個(gè)百分點(diǎn)。本月6個(gè)一級(jí)指數(shù)全部挺進(jìn)景氣區(qū)間，其中經(jīng)理人信心指數(shù)超70%。
 
　　中國農(nóng)機(jī)流通協(xié)會(huì)信息咨詢部主任張文博認(rèn)為：上個(gè)月，我們準(zhǔn)確的預(yù)測(cè)到了2月份AMI環(huán)比提升，同比也大概率提升的走勢(shì)特征，2月份 AMI環(huán)比提升17.6個(gè)百分點(diǎn)，同比提升14.0個(gè)百分點(diǎn)，以59.1%的景氣度挺進(jìn)景氣區(qū)間。從近三年指數(shù)的走勢(shì)看，雖然本月的景氣度不及2023年同期，但上升的勢(shì)頭意味著市場正走在復(fù)蘇的路上。
 
　　2月份，AMI表現(xiàn)出以下幾個(gè)突出特征。其一，提質(zhì)增效，效益指數(shù)大幅攀升；其二，人氣上升，交易趨于活躍；其三，細(xì)分市場全線飄紅，所監(jiān)測(cè)的拖拉機(jī)指數(shù)、耕整地機(jī)械指數(shù)、種植機(jī)械指數(shù)、田間管理機(jī)械指數(shù)和收獲機(jī)械指數(shù)5個(gè)二級(jí)指數(shù)環(huán)比、同比全部上漲，除收獲機(jī)械指數(shù)還停留在不景氣區(qū)間外，其余四個(gè)二級(jí)指數(shù)全部挺進(jìn)景氣區(qū)間。2月份所監(jiān)測(cè)的10個(gè)三級(jí)指數(shù)中，大中拖、旋耕機(jī)、免耕播種機(jī)、插秧機(jī)、遙控飛行噴霧機(jī)、自走履帶式谷物聯(lián)合收割機(jī)(全喂入)7個(gè)三級(jí)指數(shù)挺進(jìn)景氣區(qū)間，而深松機(jī)、自走輪式谷物聯(lián)合收割機(jī)、玉米收獲機(jī)則仍停留在不景氣區(qū)間。
 
　　當(dāng)前，全球經(jīng)濟(jì)復(fù)蘇預(yù)期不足，國際局勢(shì)復(fù)雜化。但從國內(nèi)經(jīng)濟(jì)基本面看，“穩(wěn)”的態(tài)勢(shì)鞏固延續(xù)。預(yù)計(jì)3月份，環(huán)比、同比有望實(shí)現(xiàn)雙增，AMI仍停留在景氣區(qū)間并保持較高景氣度。一、二、三級(jí)指數(shù)仍然會(huì)出現(xiàn)冷熱不均的現(xiàn)象。
 
　　下載附件，查看報(bào)告全文，包括所有一級(jí)、二級(jí)、三級(jí)指數(shù)運(yùn)行情況

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